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G7 to Release 100 Million Barrels of Reserves as War Squeezes Diesel Supply

Governments plan a frontloaded diesel release over the next four months as fighting in Ukraine and the Gulf erodes global refining capacity and pushes pump prices to records.

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Group of Seven governments said they would release as much as 100 million barrels of oil and refined-product reserves over the next four months, with diesel shipments frontloaded into the first weeks, as fighting in the Middle East and Eastern Europe squeezes fuel supplies ahead of winter.

The commitment, described in reporting carried by Investing.com, calls for a substantial, frontloaded diesel release to address shortages that have pushed pump prices for the fuel to records in several G7 markets. Diesel powers much of the world's trucking, shipping, farm and industrial equipment, making a shortage far more disruptive to the broader economy than a comparable shock to gasoline supply alone.

Two Wars, One Fuel Squeeze

The shortage has been building for months. Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and export terminals have cut into one of the world's largest diesel-exporting networks, while the eight-month war between the United States, Israel and Iran has disrupted crude flows and refining activity across the Gulf. Together, the two conflicts have erased a significant share of the diesel capacity global markets had counted on heading into the winter heating and shipping season.

Crude benchmarks reflected the strain this week before easing into the weekend: West Texas Intermediate settled at $91.11 a barrel Friday, down 1.9 percent, while Brent crude closed near $102.25, according to Hellenic Shipping News. Both benchmarks had spiked earlier in the week on reports that a third U.S. aircraft carrier strike group was being deployed toward the Middle East.

Coordinated reserve releases are a tool G7 governments have used sparingly in recent years, saved for moments when a supply shock threatens to spill into broader inflation. Officials say the diesel-specific squeeze created by two overlapping wars warrants a similar response, even as it draws down stockpiles that were built up for future emergencies.

The release does not address the underlying production constraints — Gulf output remains roughly 5 million barrels a day below pre-war levels, even as OPEC+ has separately agreed to hold its own output targets steady for November. Officials are hoping the added barrels can bridge the gap until refiners adjust their sourcing or the conflicts ease. Energy traders say the real test will come in the following weeks, as the frontloaded diesel shipments reach the market and either calm prices or prove too small to offset what two wars have already taken off the board.

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Mei Tanaka · Commodities & Trade Correspondent

Tracks commodities and global trade for UBStandard, from copper and crude to the supply chains that connect them.

[email protected]
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